The best asset in the world: Asymmetrical returns with Bitcoin

Bitcoin does not play according to the rules of the classic portfolio theory. But that’s exactly what makes it an exceptional asset – possibly the best the world has ever seen.

In the world of portfolio theory there is an overarching, irrevocable dogma: Those looking for higher returns must be prepared to take more risk. So there is typically a linear relationship between risk and return.

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This can be checked with government bonds. German government bonds, rated AAA, promise a return of -0.49 percent over ten years. Not a particularly lucrative investment, but pretty safe. Meanwhile, the current interest rate on Brazilian 10-year bonds is over 7 percent. The rating agency Fitch rated the paper BB-. Investors must take into account a potential bankruptcy of the Brazilian budget when investing.

Conversely, what percentage of the portfolio investors invest in which type of security depends solely on their risk tolerance. Risk-averse investors are likely to prefer a portfolio that relies more on safe bonds and more aggressive investors focus more on stocks, ETFs and alternative investments.

Safe is not always better

Anyone who follows the textbook opinion about the linear relationship between risk and return runs the risk of missing out on the really good opportunities. There are investments that don’t quite fit into the described pattern. Bitcoin is one of them. Not only is Bitcoin retrospectively the best performing asset in human history; Even in relation to the associated risk, BTC beats the competition by far. Depending on where you start measuring, BTC has grown by over three million percent in the first decade of its existence.

So do investors have to be extremely willing to take risks in order for a BTC investment to be considered? Limited. Because, contrary to what modern portfolio theory suggests, Bitcoin is less risky than assumed. Sure, digital gold is quite volatile – significantly more volatile than gold, oil and the S&P 500, for example. But not as volatile as the price should theoretically be with such a return. In other words, Bitcoin is what is known as an asymmetrical investment.

Bitcoin: exponential growth possible

With crypto currency No. 1, risk and return are not linear, but rather convex. The return does not increase proportionally to the risk, but increases exponentially.

This already intuitively conclusive description of the course events can be measured with the Sharpe ratio . This is a quantitative indicator that relates the risk, measured in terms of volatility, to the return. A Sharpe ratio> 1 means an above-average return on the asset in relation to the risk assumed. It turns out that when compared to assets like gold, stocks, and oil, Bitcoin is the big winner in terms of asymmetry. BTC currently has a Sharpe ratio of 2.83. The next best asymmetrical asset is gold with just 1.98.

Grayscale deshabilita la compra de nuevas acciones para Bitcoin, Ethereum, Litecoin y otros

Grayscale Investments ha desactivado temporalmente la compra de nuevas acciones para Bitcoin, señaló hoy un usuario de Twitter . La firma también ha detenido la compra de acciones de otras criptomonedas como Ethereum, Litecoin, Ethereum Classic y Bitcoin Cash. Sin embargo, la compañía todavía ofrece acciones de cifrado para Zcash, XRP y Horizen.

Fuente de la imagen: Twitter

Grayscale cierra periódicamente sus cripto fideicomisos a las llamadas rondas de „ubicación privada“. Se dice que el período de bloqueo para las acciones de Bitcoin Revolution es de seis meses y, una vez finalizado este período, los inversores pueden vender estas acciones a clientes minoristas. Para marcar el final de este período de bloqueo, se sabe que Grayscale detiene las compras.

Grayscale había detenido por última vez la compra de acciones de GBTC en junio de este año. Muchos en el campo creen que tales suspensiones temporales siempre tienden a afectar la demanda institucional de Bitcoin.

Sin embargo, según el investigador, tras el lanzamiento de nuevas acciones, los mercados solo „se disparan más alto:“

Una vez que termina la cuenta regresiva, vemos en los últimos dos años evidencia sólida de que el mercado repentinamente sube casi cada vez.

Hasta la fecha, se informa que Grayscale ha acumulado un total de 536k Bitcoin. El crecimiento de Bitcoin Trust solo se ha acelerado con el fondo elevándose a $ 5 mil millones en el cuarto trimestre de 2020. Durante este trimestre, Grayscale agregó 115,236 BTC, según descubrió un analista de tecnología:

Hace una semana, el CEO de Grayscale, Michael Sonnenshein, dijo que los flujos de Grayscale aumentaron seis veces „de lo que eran el año pasado“ y agregó:

Los tipos de inversores que ponen el capital a trabajar son algunos de los inversores más grandes del mundo, que realizan asignaciones más grandes que nunca.

En octubre, Grayscale publicó su informe de inversiones del tercer trimestre, según el cual, la empresa recaudó $ 1.050 millones en sus productos de inversión, lo que marca su mayor entrada de capital en un solo trimestre. Los activos de la empresa bajo administración incluso aumentaron un 147 por ciento hasta la fecha, en ese momento.

Después de una adición de $ 270 millones, se decía que el AUM de los fideicomisos de GBTC ahora estaba por encima de los $ 13 mil millones.

Digital education with blockchains

The technology “blockchain”, in English “chain of blocks”, has been known for several years – especially since the success of Bitcoin. The education industry is also gradually becoming interested in this technology and exploring the first possible applications. A look at initial approaches and other possible use cases.

Blockchain: A chain of information

Blockchain is a chain of information. Depending on the industry in which the blockchain is used, the information involved is very different: In the financial industry, account numbers or purchases made are stored in the blockchain, in the real estate industry it consists of rental contracts, rental payment confirmations or ancillary cost statements. In the education sector, for example, it is assessments such as grades or the individual solution to a math problem. But what are the advantages of a blockchain? To answer this question, three properties of the blockchain are important: its sequence, its network, and its security.

Blockchain: the order is crucial

In the blockchain, all information is chronologically linked in a chain. Each piece of information is stored as a block – as a link in the chain. An example: Two pieces of information about a student, the mathematics exam on March 21 and the censorship: 11 points, are linked together. The blockchain provides both pieces of information with an encrypted check digit, a so-called hash, and a time stamp. This hash is now the same on block 1 – mathematics exam on March 21 – and block 2 – censorship: 11 points – the same.

That means: Block 1 and Block 2 are inextricably linked, only Block 2 can follow Block 1. The order of the blocks is therefore exactly determined. If many blocks are chained in this way, a blockchain is created. Taking the math grades as an example, it could look like this: „Certificate grade 1st semester: 12 points – Math exam on March 21 – Censorship: 11 points – Exam on May 14 – Censorship: 9 points – Math exam on July 3 – Censorship : 13 points – Certificate grade 2nd semester: 11 points “.

Blockchain as a network

A blockchain like this is part of a network. You need a special program to enter the network with your own computer. Members of the network for the math blockchain from the example above are all persons who are related to this student’s math exams, for example the math teacher, the student, the math examiner, the headmaster and others. A scenario: The student from the example above is dissatisfied with his grade, 11 points in mathematics, because he is aiming for a degree with a high numerus clausus. Shortly before the grades close, he sneaks into the staff room and forges his own math grade in the grade index of his course: He gives himself 13 points. Such manipulation is not possible in the blockchain. Is someone trying to change the blockchain this is immediately registered by the blockchain network. If only one block changes, e.g. censorship, within the blockchain, the hashes – the check digits – of the adjacent blocks no longer match.